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Suggested Readings: August 14-23, 2018

作者:Robert A. Kapp   来源:US-China Perception Monitor   字体放大  字体缩小

August 14 – 23

PRC Domestic  Interesting tea-leaf readings following the annual secretive leadership retreat to the beach at Beidaihe.  From Nikkei, whose reporting on China tends toward negative or insinuating hinting.  This piece is relatively free of that, however. A NYT article suggesting that Chinese leadership may have misjudged prospects for trade conflict with the US and now confront serious policy dilemmas.  Xi Jinping issues a new anti-corruption/anti-laxity warning and mandate to the military. A rising young American China specialist writes on the profound challenges to the Chinese political system arising from the very characteristics of that system today, i.e., the intellectual and political supremacy of a single Leader. The Economist often uses better-than-average writing style to express commonplace ideas, but this essay, on the swirl of rumors accompanying this year’s leadership retreat at Beidaihe, is worth the reader’s time.  Bottom line: don’t get too worked up about rumors of intense leadership conflict and rising antagonism toward Xi Jinping. Marvelous piece on the finances of China’s gigantic High Speed Rail system: built on debt, still run on loans.  What lies ahead?  A debt crisis or, over the longer term, a system that pays off its debts and justifies the regime’s enormous bet?  Michael Pettis on the ways in which a “trade war” could create more favorable conditions for deep-reaching and needed structural reforms in the Chinese economy.  China’s new Ministry of Emergency Management and overhaul of the entire disaster-management system. A granary fire, and another discussion of declining self-sufficiency in food grains.  Wall Street Journal on internment “re-education” camps in Xinjiang.  A vast report on what is apparently happening in Xinjiang.  Brings together in one place much of the recent widespread reporting on “Re-education” camps incarcerating hundreds of thousands, if not a million, Uyghur residents of Xinjiang in the ostensible interests of anti-terrorism and “stability maintenance.”  The boom in online P2P (peer-to-peer) lending hits the wall. In their struggle to gain “World Class” designation, Chinese universities aim to “internationalize,” but face very serious unintended consequences.  An important glimpse into a broader and deeper phenomenon at work in modern China.

PRC Global  A fascinating Caixin interview with Prime Minister Mahatir of Malaysia, as he proceeds to postpone or cancel very large PRC-invested development projects because of the huge debts his nation incurred in signing on to those deals.  A long, thoughtful, and ultimately pessimistic article by Adam Segal, the Council on Foreign Relations cyber expert, on what China’s vision and program for management of cyberspace portends. Tsinghua University computer allegedly connected to hacking of Daimler, Tibetans in India, etc.   More worries about US cutting its funding for diplomacy and overseas development aid while China ramps up big-time. Focus on Africa and Latin America.  Valedictory observations by a young Chinese person who worked for seven years as an employee of foreign news organizations in China and is now leaving journalism for study abroad.

PRC-U.S.  First US-PRC meetings in months, on trade/tariff disputes, open at relatively low levels (Under Secretary of Treasury/Vice Minister of Commerce) in D.C.  Good background/context article. For trade addicts.  The official USTR announcement of hearings to be held Aug. 20-27 on proposed new US tariffs on Chinese products, including the gigantic, complete list of the proposed targets.  More than 350 companies requested opportunities to testify.  SR will post additional links as useful material becomes available. In the absence of meaningful American coverage of these extremely important USTR hearings on pending tariff increases, China Global Television Network posts this piece on witnesses’ testimonies as to the damage such tariff’s cause to complex supply chains serving American companies. Timothy Stratford, now heading a major US law firm’s China operations but formerly top USTR China official, with an oracular, relatively gloomy, but thought-provoking interview on why the US and China are likely to be locked into the current trade conflict for a long time.  A detailed and highly critical commentary from a CCP organ, of the just-passed US Defense Authorization Act, which contains significant China-focused content. Peterson Institute of International Economics analysis of China’s announced tariffs on imports from the US, in response to US imposition of tariffs on Chinese imports.  As of August 15.  Useful, simple graphs also.  The vaccine scandal grows.  A very useful podcast on economic issues, with an extended discussion of major China matters starting at 7 minutes 20 seconds.   The guest is Jason Furman, one of the principal architects of economic policy in the Obama Administration.  USTR Lighthizer testimony at Senate Appropriations Committee hearing on USTR, July 26.  From the horse’s mouth, much of it on China. Internal unrest at Google as company explores possibility of a China search engine adherent to PRC cyber controls. A sobering report about the evolution of the unconstrained U.S. presidency, less and less affected by Congressional power or by the judgments of the expertise in the federal bureaucracy.  Asks the question, in conclusion, whether the “rising threat that China poses to U.S. interests” might shake the Congress and the bureaucracy out of their torpor.  A popular online publication, and an author who writes regularly on China, produce another in the unending array of moral challenges to normal Sino-American relations these days:  why is the National Basketball Association running a  youth training camp in Xinjiang, where up to a million local residents – Uighurs, of Islamic faith – are currently held in re-education camps?

发布时间:2019年06月04日 来源时间:2018年08月23日

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